Matched markets
Polymarket ↔ Kalshi matches with similarity score. Prices (implied prob %) when available from last scan.
| Polymarket | Kalshi | Score | Poly YES% | Poly NO% | Kalshi YES% | Kalshi NO% | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Open → | Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez be the Democratic Presidential nominee in 2028? Open → | 0.863 | 8.8% (0.0880) | 91.3% (0.9130) | 11.0% (0.1100) | 90.0% (0.9000) | ✓ | |
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Open → | Will Gretchen Whitmer be the Democratic Presidential nominee in 2028? Open → | 0.847 | 1.2% (0.0120) | 98.9% (0.9890) | 1.4% (0.0140) | 98.8% (0.9880) | ✓ | |
Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Open → | Will Stephen A. Smith be the Democratic Presidential nominee in 2028? Open → | 0.844 | 1.1% (0.0110) | 99.0% (0.9900) | 0.9% (0.0090) | 99.2% (0.9920) | ✓ | |
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Open → | Will Raphael Warnock be the Democratic Presidential nominee in 2028? Open → | 0.844 | 0.8% (0.0080) | 99.3% (0.9930) | 0.5% (0.0050) | 99.6% (0.9960) | ✓ | |
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Open → | Will Pete Buttigieg be the Democratic Presidential nominee in 2028? Open → | 0.842 | 4.3% (0.0430) | 95.8% (0.9580) | 4.8% (0.0480) | 95.3% (0.9530) | ✓ | |
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Open → | Will Michelle Obama be the Democratic Presidential nominee in 2028? Open → | 0.842 | 1.5% (0.0150) | 98.6% (0.9860) | 1.4% (0.0140) | 98.7% (0.9870) | ✓ | |
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Open → | Will Zohran Mamdani be the Democratic Presidential nominee in 2028? Open → | 0.842 | 0.8% (0.0080) | 99.3% (0.9930) | 0.3% (0.0030) | 99.8% (0.9980) | ✓ | |
Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Open → | Will John Fetterman be the Democratic Presidential nominee in 2028? Open → | 0.842 | 1.0% (0.0100) | 99.1% (0.9910) | 0.2% (0.0020) | 99.9% (0.9990) | ✓ | |
Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Open → | Will Bernie Sanders be the Democratic Presidential nominee in 2028? Open → | 0.842 | 0.8% (0.0080) | 99.3% (0.9930) | 0.3% (0.0030) | 99.8% (0.9980) | ✓ | |
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Open → | Will James Talarico be the Democratic Presidential nominee in 2028? Open → | 0.842 | 1.9% (0.0190) | 98.2% (0.9820) | 2.9% (0.0290) | 97.2% (0.9720) | ✓ | |
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Open → | Will Kamala Harris be the Democratic Presidential nominee in 2028? Open → | 0.840 | 9.0% (0.0900) | 91.1% (0.9110) | 9.8% (0.0980) | 90.6% (0.9060) | ✓ | |
Will Gina Raimondo win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Open → | Will Gina Raimondo be the Democratic Presidential nominee in 2028? Open → | 0.840 | 0.8% (0.0080) | 99.3% (0.9930) | 0.2% (0.0020) | 99.9% (0.9990) | ✓ | |
Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Open → | Will Ruben Gallego be the Democratic Presidential nominee in 2028? Open → | 0.840 | 0.8% (0.0080) | 99.3% (0.9930) | 0.7% (0.0070) | 99.4% (0.9940) | ✓ | |
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Open → | Will Gavin Newsom be the Democratic Presidential nominee in 2028? Open → | 0.837 | 24.5% (0.2450) | 75.6% (0.7560) | 25.0% (0.2500) | 76.0% (0.7600) | ✓ | |
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Open → | Will Josh Shapiro be the Democratic Presidential nominee in 2028? Open → | 0.837 | 5.2% (0.0520) | 94.9% (0.9490) | 4.7% (0.0470) | 95.4% (0.9540) | ✓ | |
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Open → | Will Andy Beshear be the Democratic Presidential nominee in 2028? Open → | 0.837 | 2.8% (0.0280) | 97.4% (0.9740) | 3.8% (0.0380) | 96.5% (0.9650) | ✓ | |
Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Open → | Will J.B. Pritzker be the Democratic Presidential nominee in 2028? Open → | 0.837 | 1.7% (0.0170) | 98.4% (0.9840) | 2.7% (0.0270) | 97.5% (0.9750) | ✓ | |
Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Open → | Will Rahm Emanuel be the Democratic Presidential nominee in 2028? Open → | 0.837 | 2.5% (0.0250) | 97.6% (0.9760) | 5.1% (0.0510) | 95.0% (0.9500) | ✓ | |
Will Barack Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Open → | Will Barack Obama be the Democratic Presidential nominee in 2028? Open → | 0.837 | 0.8% (0.0080) | 99.3% (0.9930) | 0.2% (0.0020) | 99.9% (0.9990) | ✓ | |
Will LeBron James win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Open → | Will Lebron James be the Democratic Presidential nominee in 2028? Open → | 0.837 | 0.8% (0.0080) | 99.3% (0.9930) | 0.1% (0.0010) | 100.0% (1.0000) | ✓ | |
Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Open → | Will Hunter Biden be the Democratic Presidential nominee in 2028? Open → | 0.837 | 0.7% (0.0070) | 99.4% (0.9940) | 0.2% (0.0020) | 99.9% (0.9990) | ✓ | |
Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Open → | Will Chris Murphy be the Democratic Presidential nominee in 2028? Open → | 0.837 | 0.9% (0.0090) | 99.2% (0.9920) | 0.7% (0.0070) | 99.4% (0.9940) | ✓ | |
Will Hillary Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Open → | Will Hilary Clinton be the Democratic Presidential nominee in 2028? Open → | 0.836 | 0.8% (0.0080) | 99.3% (0.9930) | 0.2% (0.0020) | 99.9% (0.9990) | ✓ | |
Will Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Open → | Will Cory Booker be the Democratic Presidential nominee in 2028? Open → | 0.835 | 1.0% (0.0100) | 99.1% (0.9910) | 0.8% (0.0080) | 99.3% (0.9930) | ✓ | |
Will Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Open → | Will Jared Polis be the Democratic Presidential nominee in 2028? Open → | 0.835 | 0.8% (0.0080) | 99.3% (0.9930) | 0.3% (0.0030) | 99.8% (0.9980) | ✓ | |
Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Open → | Will Jon Stewart be the Democratic Presidential nominee in 2028? Open → | 0.835 | 1.3% (0.0130) | 98.8% (0.9880) | 1.6% (0.0160) | 98.7% (0.9870) | ✓ | |
Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Open → | Will Phil Murphy be the Democratic Presidential nominee in 2028? Open → | 0.835 | 0.7% (0.0070) | 99.4% (0.9940) | 0.1% (0.0010) | 100.0% (1.0000) | ✓ | |
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Open → | Will Jon Ossoff be the Democratic Presidential nominee in 2028? Open → | 0.832 | 6.3% (0.0630) | 93.8% (0.9380) | 7.7% (0.0770) | 92.5% (0.9250) | ✓ | |
Will Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Open → | Will Roy Cooper be the Democratic Presidential nominee in 2028? Open → | 0.832 | 1.1% (0.0110) | 99.0% (0.9900) | 0.4% (0.0040) | 99.8% (0.9980) | ✓ | |
Will Liz Cheney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Open → | Will Liz Cheney be the Democratic Presidential nominee in 2028? Open → | 0.832 | 0.8% (0.0080) | 99.3% (0.9930) | 0.1% (0.0010) | 100.0% (1.0000) | ✓ | |
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Open → | Will Wes Moore be the Democratic Presidential nominee in 2028? Open → | 0.829 | 1.4% (0.0140) | 98.7% (0.9870) | 2.5% (0.0250) | 97.8% (0.9780) | ✓ | |
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Open → | Will Ro Khanna be the Democratic Presidential nominee in 2028? Open → | 0.829 | 1.8% (0.0180) | 98.3% (0.9830) | 2.6% (0.0260) | 97.5% (0.9750) | ✓ | |
Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Open → | Will Tim Walz be the Democratic Presidential nominee in 2028? Open → | 0.826 | 0.7% (0.0070) | 99.4% (0.9940) | 0.1% (0.0010) | 100.0% (1.0000) | ✓ | |
Will Mark Cuban win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Open → | Will Mark Cuban be the Democratic Presidential nominee in 2028? Open → | 0.817 | 1.0% (0.0100) | 99.1% (0.9910) | 0.8% (0.0080) | 99.3% (0.9930) | ✓ | |
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Open → | Will Mark Kelly be the Democratic Presidential nominee in 2028? Open → | 0.817 | 2.3% (0.0230) | 97.8% (0.9780) | 3.4% (0.0340) | 96.7% (0.9670) | ✓ |